Can We Trust Our Estimates?
A simple look at joint probability, estimate accuracy, and what completed work tells us.
Notes, explorations, and things worth remembering.
A personal collection of working explanations, experiments, and ideas. Everything here is a page; some pages are written in Markdown, and some begin as executable Marimo notebooks.
Strategic Programming with AI
Deep modules, golden tests, and knowing when to hand off the keyboard.
Your Dashboards Should Measure Operational Risk
Use telemetry to measure risk, not just state.
Working Code is Not Enough
When tools change, the principles stay the same. LLMs don’t remove the need for strategic design.